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                                    32%u5b78%u9580%u767c%u5c55%u7684%u56f0%u5883%u8207%u6311%u6230%u518d%u73fe%uff08replication%uff09%u9032%u884c%u7c21%u4ecb%u3002%u6839%u64da Nosek %u7b49%u4eba%uff082022%uff09%uff0c%u53ef%u91cd%u88fd%u6027%u6307%u7684%u662f%u7528%u8207%u539f%u5148%u7684%u7814%u7a76%u5831%u544a%u76f8%u540c%u7684%u8cc7%u6599%u3001%u76f8%u540c%u7684%u5206%u6790%u65b9%u5f0f%uff0c%u80fd%u5426%u5f97%u5230%u8207%u76f8%u540c%u7684%u7d50%u679c%u3002%u7a69%u5065%u6027%u6307%u7684%u662f%u91dd%u5c0d%u540c%u4e00%u7b46%u8cc7%u6599%uff0c%u4f7f%u7528%u4e0d%u540c%u7684%u5206%u6790%u7a0b%u5e8f%u80fd%u5426%u5f97%u5230%u4e00%u81f4%u7684%u7d50%u679c%u3002%u518d%u73fe%u6307%u7684%u5247%u662f%u518d%u9032%u884c%u4e00%u6b21%u7814%u7a76%u8490%u96c6%u8cc7%u6599%uff0c%u6aa2%u8996%u80fd%u5426%u5f97%u5230%u8207%u539f%u59cb%u7814%u7a76%u4e00%u81f4%u7684%u767c%u73fe%u3002Open Science Collaboration %u900f%u904e%u591a%u500b%u5be6%u9a57%u5ba4%u7684%u5408%u4f5c%uff0c%u5617%u8a66%u518d%u73fe%u4e86 100 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%u7684%u518d%u73fe%u6027%u3002%u96d6%u7136%u6b64%u4e00%u518d%u73fe%u6027%u504f%u4f4e%u7684%u5831%u544a%u6709%u591a%u65b9%u7684%u89e3%u8b80%u3001%u6279%u8a55%u8207%u8a0e%u8ad6%uff0c%u5305%u542b%u90e8%u5206%u7684%u518d%u73fe%u7814%u7a76%u7684%u65b9%u6cd5%u8207%u539f%u59cb%u7814%u7a76%u6709%u6240%u51fa%u5165%u7b49%u8003%u91cf%uff08Gilbert et al., 2016%uff09%u3001%u7814%u7a76%u767c%u73fe%u7684%u60c5%u5883%u654f%u611f%u5ea6%uff08contextual sensitivity%uff09%u5c0d%u65bc%u518d%u73fe%u6027%u7684%u5f71%u97ff%uff08Van Bavel et al., 2016%uff09%uff0c%u4e5f%u5305%u542b%u4ee5%u9810%u6e2c%u5340%u9593%uff08prediction intervals%uff09%u91cd%u65b0%u4f30%u7b97%u986f%u793a%u6709 77% %u7684%u7814%u7a76%u662f%u53ef%u4ee5%u518d%u73fe%u7684%uff08Patil et al., 2016%uff09%uff0c%u7121%u8ad6%u5982%u4f55%uff0c%u6b64%u4efd%u5831%u544a%u63d0%u9192%u5b78%u754c%u5c0d%u65bc%u7814%u7a76%u7d50%u679c%u7684%u518d%u73fe%u6027%u7684%u91cd%u8996%u3002%u865b%u7121%u5047%u8a2d%u7684%u7d71%u8a08%u6aa2%u5b9a%u672c%u8eab%uff0c%u4e5f%u662f%u5b78%u754c%u958b%u59cb%u6aa2%u8a0e%u7684%u76ee%u6a19%u3002%u904e%u5f80%u7684%u7814%u7a76%uff0c%u901a%u5e38%u662f%u57fa%u65bc%u7d71%u8a08%u6aa2%u5b9a%u6240%u5f97%u5230%u4e4b p %u503c%u662f%u5426%u5c0f%u65bc 0.05 %u7684%u5224%u6e96%uff0c%u4f86%u505a%u51fa%u662f%u5426%u9054%u5230%u986f%u8457%u3001%u80fd%u5920%u62d2%u7d55%u865b%u7121%u5047%u8a2d%u7684%u6c7a%u7b56%u3002%u7136%u800c%uff0c%u6b64%u4e00%u6c7a%u7b56%u7684%u57fa%u790e%u6709%u53ef%u80fd%u88ab%u8aa4%u7528%u3002%u8209%u4f8b%u800c%u8a00%uff0cp-hacking %u6307%u7684%u662f%u7531%u65bc%u7814%u7a76%u8005%u6709%u904e%u5ea6%u7684%u81ea%u7531%u4f5c%u70ba%uff0c%u85c9%u7531%u5982%u4f55%u79fb%u9664%u754c%u5916%u503c%u3001%u8981%u7d0d%u5165%u54ea%u4e9b%u8b8a%u9805%u9032%u884c%u5206%u6790%u3001%u662f%u5426%u7e7c%u7e8c%u5fb5%u6c42%u53c3%u8207%u8005%u3001%u662f%u5426%u628a%u5169%u500b%u6216%u5169%u500b%u4ee5%u4e0a%u7684%u60c5%u6cc1%u5408%u4f75%u7b49%u8003%u91cf%u9032%u884c%u591a%u65b9%u5617%u8a66%uff0c%u76f4%u5230%u986f%u8457%u3002%u9019%u662f%u6709%u554f%u984c%u7684%u7814%u7a76%u884c%u70ba%uff0c%u53ef%u80fd%u5c0e%u81f4%u932f%u8aa4%u5730%u62d2%u7d55%u865b%u7121%u5047%u8a2d%uff08Simmons et al., 2011%uff09%u3002Head %u7b49%u4eba%uff082015%uff09%u85c9%u7531%u5206%u6790%u6587%u737b%u4e2d p %u503c%u7684%u5206%u5e03%uff0c%u6307%u51fa%u591a%u500b%u5b78%u8853%u9818%u57df%u53ef%u80fd%u6709 p-hacking %u7684%u5b58%u5728%uff0c%u986f%u793a%u9019%u662f%u503c%u5f97%u91cd%u8996%u7684%u554f%u984c%u3002%u4e8c%u3001%u89e3%u6c7a%u65b9%u6848%u7684%u63a8%u52d5%u8207%u5617%u8a66%u91dd%u5c0d%u4e0a%u8ff0%u4e4b%u7814%u7a76%u518d%u73fe%u6027%u7b49%u6311%u6230%uff0c%u958b%u653e%u79d1%u5b78%u7684%u63a8%u52d5%u8207%u5be6%u8e10%u5728%u5b78%u8853%u793e%u7fa4%u65e5%u76ca%u84ec%u52c3%uff0c%u671f%u8a31%u80fd%u5920%u8b93%u7814%u7a76%u66f4%u900f%u660e%u8207%u958b%u653e%u3001%u4e5f%u8b93%u7814%u7a76%u6210%u679c%u66f4%u80fd%u5920%u88ab%u518d%u73fe%u3002%u4ee5%u4e0b%u7c21%u8ff0%u8fd1%u5e74%u4f86%u5b78%u754c%u7684%u56e0%u61c9%u884c%u52d5%u3002%u4fc3%u9032%u900f%u660e%u6027%u8207%u958b%u653e%u6027%uff08Transparency and Openness Promotion%uff09%u7684%u6307%u5f15%u3002%u958b%u653e%u79d1%u5b78%u4e2d%u5fc3%uff08Center for Open Science%uff09%u63d0%u51fa%u4e86%u6b64%u6307%u5f15%uff0c%u5e0c%u671b%u80fd%u5920%u63d0%u5347%u7814%u7a76%u7684%u900f%u660e%u6027%u8207%u958b%u653e%u6027%uff08Nosek et al., 2015%uff09%u3002%u6b64%u6307%u5f15%u6db5%u84cb%u4e86%u900f%u660e%u6027%u3001%u9810%u5148%u8a3b%u518a%uff08preregistration%uff09%u3001%u518d%u73fe%u7b49%u53d6%u5411%u3002%u6b64%u6307%u5f15%u5df2%u53ef%u898b%u65bc%u591a%u672c%u671f%u520a%u4e4b%u6295%u7a3f%u898f%u7bc4%uff0c%u800c%u5c55%u73fe%u5176%u5f71%u97ff%u529b%u3002
                                
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